Conf = ACC ------ State = C
Mascot = Tar Heels ------ Coach = Joe BreschiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.0490875 home-field advantage = -1.11 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Michigan B1G ( 7- 7, 95.3) 15- 6 214 H Stony Brook CAA ( 7- 7, 91.4) 9- 4 222 A Johns Hopkins B1G ( 6- 8, 95.4) 13-12 228 H Penn Ivy ( 4-10, 93.9) 16- 8 302 H Princeton Ivy (13- 4, 97.9) 12-14 308 H Hofstra CAA ( 8- 6, 91.4) 18- 7 316 H Jacksonville ASUN ( 9- 5, 91.5) 20- 7 321 A High Point Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 91.9) 14- 2 329 A Army Patriot (12- 2, 98.5) 12-13 405 H Virginia ACC ( 6- 8, 95.3) 18- 9 412 A Duke ACC (12- 6, 96.5) 8- 7 419 H Notre Dame ACC ( 9- 5, 98.9) 6-12 426 A Syracuse ACC (13- 5, 97.6) 14-12 502 N Duke ACC (12- 6, 96.5) 7-14 510 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (14- 4, 97.7) 10-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H Michigan 15- 6 9 2 ++ 4.01 214 H Stony Brook 9- 4 5 6 -1.83 222 A Johns Hopkins 13-12 1 0 0.39 228 H Penn 16- 8 8 4 + 2.59 302 H Princeton 12-14 -2 0 - -2.36 308 H Hofstra 18- 7 11 6 0.16 316 H Jacksonville 20- 7 13 6 0.26 321 A High Point 14- 2 12 4 + 2.90 329 A Army 12-13 -1 -2 1.46 405 H Virginia 18- 9 9 2 ++ 4.06 412 A Duke 8- 7 1 0 1.41 419 H Notre Dame 6-12 -6 0 -- -5.35 426 A Syracuse 14-12 2 -1 + 3.58 502 N Duke 7-14 -7 0 --- -7.70 510 H Richmond 10-13 -3 0 - -3.58UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 97.15 Power Rank................. 9 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 88.82 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 10 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6388 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 15 RPI Rating............... .6144 RPI Rank................... 10 Champ. Probability ...... 2.8 Championship Rank ......... 9 Selection sum ........... 37 Selection Rank ............ 11 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 50. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 11 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 55. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 12 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7