Conf = ACC
Nickname = NC Tar Heels Coach = Joe BreschGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.8578644 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 N Mercer ASUN ( 4-10, 83.6) 13- 5 217 N Fairfield CAA ( 8- 7, 89.4) 19- 8 224 H Johns Hopkins B1G (11- 5, 96.3) 9-13 301 H Princeton Ivy (11- 5, 95.8) 9-15 303 H Penn Ivy ( 9- 6, 93.8) 13- 9 309 A Hofstra CAA ( 6- 9, 88.8) 21- 9 312 A Wagner MAAC ( 1-14, 82.8) 18- 4 316 A Stony Brook CAA ( 4-10, 89.8) 12- 8 323 H High Point Atlantic 10 ( 9- 7, 91.3) 11-12 330 H Army West Point Patriot (11- 3, 94.5) 12-13 406 A Virginia ACC (12- 6, 96.9) 6-14 413 H Syracuse ACC (12- 6, 96.7) 9-10 420 A Notre Dame ACC (16- 1, 99.9) 6-14 427 H Duke ACC (13- 6, 97.0) 15-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 N Mercer 13- 5 8 10 0.00 217 N Fairfield 19- 8 11 4 + 2.60 224 H Johns Hopkins 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.22 301 H Princeton 9-15 -6 -1 -- -4.74 303 H Penn 13- 9 4 0 + 3.26 309 A Hofstra 21- 9 12 4 + 2.68 312 A Wagner 18- 4 14 10 0.00 316 A Stony Brook 12- 8 4 3 0.68 323 H High Point 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.26 330 H Army West Point 12-13 -1 0 -1.09 406 A Virginia 6-14 -8 -3 - -3.29 413 H Syracuse 9-10 -1 -2 1.13 420 A Notre Dame 6-14 -8 -6 -0.26 427 H Duke 15-12 3 -2 ++ 5.50UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 93.85 Power Rank................. 16 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 83.01 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 18 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6498 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 14 RPI Rating............... .5441 RPI Rank................... 23 Champ. Probability ...... 4.5 Championship Rank ......... 7 Selection sum ........... 58 Selection Rank ............ 17 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -15. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 20 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -15. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 21 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0