Conf = ACC
Nickname = NC Tar Heels Coach = Joe BreschGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.1116028 home-field advantage = -0.59 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 N Mercer ASUN ( 4-10, 84.9) 13- 5 217 N Fairfield CAA ( 8- 6, 90.5) 19- 8 224 H Johns Hopkins B1G (10- 3, 98.1) 9-13 301 H Princeton Ivy ( 9- 4, 96.6) 9-15 303 H Penn Ivy ( 8- 5, 94.9) 13- 9 309 A Hofstra CAA ( 6- 9, 90.1) 21- 9 312 A Wagner MAAC ( 1-14, 84.0) 18- 4 316 A Stony Brook CAA ( 4-10, 91.1) 12- 8 323 H High Point Atlantic 10 ( 9- 6, 92.5) 11-12 330 H Army West Point Patriot (11- 2, 95.9) 12-13 406 A Virginia ACC (10- 4, 98.6) 6-14 413 H Syracuse ACC (11- 4, 98.4) 9-10 420 A Notre Dame ACC (10- 1, 99.9) 6-14 427 H Duke ACC (11- 4, 98.4) 15-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 N Mercer 13- 5 8 10 0.00 217 N Fairfield 19- 8 11 4 + 2.35 224 H Johns Hopkins 9-13 -4 -2 -1.59 301 H Princeton 9-15 -6 0 -- -5.06 303 H Penn 13- 9 4 0 + 3.21 309 A Hofstra 21- 9 12 4 + 2.61 312 A Wagner 18- 4 14 10 0.00 316 A Stony Brook 12- 8 4 3 0.60 323 H High Point 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.18 330 H Army West Point 12-13 -1 0 -0.79 406 A Virginia 6-14 -8 -4 - -2.92 413 H Syracuse 9-10 -1 -2 1.68 420 A Notre Dame 6-14 -8 -5 -1.61 427 H Duke 15-12 3 -2 ++ 5.69UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 95.10 Power Rank................. 16 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 85.77 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 14 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6761 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 3 RPI Rating............... .5593 RPI Rank................... 20 Champ. Probability ...... 3.0 Championship Rank ......... 11 Selection sum ........... 41 Selection Rank ............ 13 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -15. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 22 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -10. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 18 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0