Conf = ACC ------ State = C
Mascot = Tar Heels ------ Coach = Joe BreschiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.3095093 home-field advantage = -1.11 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Michigan B1G ( 7- 7, 95.3) 15- 6 214 H Stony Brook CAA ( 7- 7, 91.4) 9- 4 222 A Johns Hopkins B1G ( 6- 8, 95.4) 13-12 228 H Penn Ivy ( 4-10, 93.8) 16- 8 302 H Princeton Ivy (12- 3, 97.9) 12-14 308 H Hofstra CAA ( 8- 6, 91.4) 18- 7 316 H Jacksonville ASUN ( 9- 5, 91.6) 20- 7 321 A High Point Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 91.8) 14- 2 329 A Army Patriot (12- 2, 98.5) 12-13 405 H Virginia ACC ( 6- 8, 95.3) 18- 9 412 A Duke ACC (12- 5, 96.8) 8- 7 419 H Notre Dame ACC ( 8- 4, 98.6) 6-12 426 A Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 97.6) 14-12 502 N Duke ACC (12- 5, 96.8) 7-14 510 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 3, 97.2)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H Michigan 15- 6 9 3 + 3.76 214 H Stony Brook 9- 4 5 7 - -2.00 222 A Johns Hopkins 13-12 1 0 0.10 228 H Penn 16- 8 8 4 + 2.25 302 H Princeton 12-14 -2 0 - -2.63 308 H Hofstra 18- 7 11 7 0.00 316 H Jacksonville 20- 7 13 6 0.02 321 A High Point 14- 2 12 4 + 2.51 329 A Army 12-13 -1 -2 1.14 405 H Virginia 18- 9 9 3 + 3.79 412 A Duke 8- 7 1 0 1.45 419 H Notre Dame 6-12 -6 0 -- -5.95 426 A Syracuse 14-12 2 -1 + 3.30 502 N Duke 7-14 -7 0 --- -7.65UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 97.44 Power Rank................. 9 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 88.47 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 10 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6270 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 15 RPI Rating............... .6258 RPI Rank................... 9 Champ. Probability ...... 3.6 Championship Rank ......... 7 Selection sum ........... 32 Selection Rank ............ 8 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 60. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 8 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 65. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 8 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.7